Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.202599 0.215395 0.228801 0.243931 0.260580 0.278394 0.298964
2025-03-23 0.177994 0.197452 0.219176 0.245434 0.276592 0.312743 0.358401
2025-03-30 0.158207 0.180906 0.207447 0.241229 0.283765 0.336520 0.408521
2025-04-06 0.142054 0.166063 0.195112 0.233567 0.284293 0.350707 0.447526
2025-04-13 0.129546 0.154073 0.184557 0.226210 0.283307 0.361590 0.482553
2025-04-20 0.122974 0.148713 0.181554 0.227863 0.293875 0.388854 0.545188
2025-04-27 0.118282 0.145233 0.180465 0.231638 0.307377 0.421675 0.622420
2025-05-04 0.113180 0.140739 0.177503 0.232263 0.316003 0.447871 0.693812
2025-05-11 0.107963 0.135680 0.173293 0.230536 0.320598 0.467894 0.758235
2025-05-18 0.103111 0.130789 0.168917 0.228069 0.323556 0.485289 0.821360
2025-05-25 0.098009 0.125244 0.163221 0.223066 0.321745 0.493881 0.868290
2025-06-01 0.093724 0.120619 0.158558 0.219252 0.321430 0.504955 0.923181
2025-06-08 0.089761 0.116356 0.154322 0.216015 0.322156 0.518843 0.990581
2025-06-15 0.087758 0.114836 0.154098 0.219229 0.334606 0.557755 1.133325
2025-06-22 0.084360 0.111109 0.150315 0.216302 0.335647 0.573751 1.222463
2025-06-29 0.080397 0.106373 0.144736 0.209970 0.329718 0.574080 1.267648
2025-07-06 0.076737 0.101942 0.139419 0.203736 0.323396 0.572673 1.307813
2025-07-13 0.075087 0.100453 0.138616 0.205174 0.331986 0.606175 1.474443
2025-07-20 0.073939 0.099661 0.138854 0.208415 0.344461 0.651189 1.707349
2025-07-27 0.072288 0.098024 0.137638 0.208952 0.351466 0.684290 1.918009
2025-08-03 0.070328 0.095828 0.135403 0.207475 0.354075 0.706691 2.100499
2025-08-10 0.068358 0.093543 0.132914 0.205361 0.355097 0.725123 2.279842
2025-08-17 0.066076 0.090692 0.129373 0.201069 0.350954 0.728652 2.389449